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Thursday, November 07, 2013

Analysis of the Virginia Vote for Governor


Some interesting exit polling data.

  • Cuccinelli Beat McAuliffe 51% to 42% Among Women—Who Are Married.

  • Cuccinelli defeated McAuliffe among married women 51 percent to 42 percent, with Sarvis taking 7 percent.

  • Cuccinelli also defeated McAuliffe among married men, 50 percent to 44 percent, with Sarvis taking 6 percent

The Democrat, McAuliffe, was especially popular with unmarried women, defeating Cuccinelli among that group 67 percent to 25 percent, with Sarvis taking 9 percent. Among unmarried men, McAuliffe bested Cuccinelli 58 percent to 33 percent, with Sarvis taking 9 percent.

UPDATE:  Politico reports that Cuccinelli won "independents"
 
Cuccinelli actually won independents by 9 percentage points, 47 percent to 38 percent, according to exit polls conducted for a group of media organizations. They made up about one-third of the electorate.

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