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Wednesday, June 20, 2012

Higher Education Bubble Update: The Virginian Pilot Has Called for the Ouster of Helen Dragas … Which Means She Is Perfect for the Job.



The University of Virginia Board of Visitors ousted UVA’s president, Teresa Sullivan, recently which has caused an uproar in the establishment press and at UVA.  Like the passengers on the RMS Titanic just before its little accident, they were happy with her leadership.  Sullivan was busy re-arranging the deck chairs and that just wasn’t good enough for rector Dragas and the rest of the board, who were looking for a change in direction.
The issue facing higher education is that it is on the cusp of a bubble.  Decades of double digit price increases has impoverished the families who paid and the students who loaded up on student loans.  And for what?  The graduates of these prestigious universities are elbowing each other for jobs that require them to ask “would you like fries with that?”  And those are the lucky ones.  Others are moving back in with their parents offering to work as unpaid interns in hopes of getting the next job opening in the Obama economy. 
At one time a university education was a ticket to a professional career.  It was also affordable and was largely responsible for creating an expanding middle class.  But higher education, like the housing bubble, has become the next financial bubble.  Professors and administrators have replaced realtors and bankers as the villains of the Big Education drama. 
Inside the Ivory Tower nothing seems wrong.  New classes of fresh students enter to be fleeced with promises of outsized paychecks as “studies” classes and non-teaching administrators grow like kudzu.  Outside it’s becoming obvious that something’s seriously wrong as student loan debt – which cannot be discharged through bankruptcy – has grown to over a trillion dollars and graduates can’t find jobs.  Even worse, nearly 30% of students who take out loans don’t get degrees.  Law school graduates are being supported by their schools for a year after graduation because they can’t find jobs.  Big Education has become less and less about the students and more and more about the institution.
One of the reasons that Big Media doesn’t recognize the problem is because they don’t recognize their own problem.  They are lost in a technological time warp.  Newspapers are losing readers and TV is losing eyes because information and entertainment delivery doesn’t mean newsprint and TV shows any more.  Technology has made them obsolete; they’re dying and they are either in denial or don’t know what to do about it.  The old education model is literally hundreds of years old.  The idea that to get an education today requires moving to a campus for four or more years at a cost of a couple of hundred thousand dollars is ending.  Texas has set the goal of providing a bachelor’s degree for $10,000.  This will not require residence on a campus. And why should it in an age of instant total communication wherever you are?   Wisconsin has developed a self-paced, on-line degree program that measures competency instead of "seat time."   What a concept!  A couple of Stanford professors taught free web-based courses last year that reached over 100,000 students.

I suspect that one of the reasons Sullivan was fired is that she did not recognize the problem or believed it was not urgent.  And why should she?  Her salary and benefits exceed half-million dollars a year, even after losing her job as President.  Five UVA employees earn over $500,000, another eight earn over $400,000, another 24 earn over $300,000.  Of the above only 15 of the 38 actually teach, the rest “administer.”    
Dragas owns a construction company so she has experience with financial bubbles.  She recognizes that the University system as currently constituted is about to implode because it is financially unsustainable.  The faculty is happy with the system.  The press is happy with the system.  The only people getting the shaft are the students and their parents.  Big Education and Big Media are both dinosaurs desperate to keep the status quo.  Meet the dustbin of history fellows, you’ll have a lot of company.


UPDATE:  Thanks to a link by Glenn Reynolds, it has been asserted that the real problem with Teresa Sullivan is the issue of scientific fraud in a paper she co-authored with Elizabeth Warren who claimed minority status as 1/32nd Indian.   I have read that at Legal Insurrection.  Whether that is THE reason for her dismissal is a fair question.  If that is the real story, I have a feeling that it will not be told for quite some time.  Nevertheless, my critique of academia stands and I believe that Dragas, along with everyone else in the construction industry, is acutely sensitive to bubbles of the kind academia is currently experiencing.  When you can take a course at Stanford via the Internet for free, you know that the brick and mortar model of higher education is in deep trouble. 

UPDATE 2:  From Inside Higher Ed


E-mail messages were flying among leaders of the Board of Visitors of the University of Virginia in the weeks leading up to the ouster of Teresa A. Sullivan as president of the university. The e-mail messages show that one reason board leaders wanted to move quickly was the belief that UVa needed to get involved in a serious way with online education.

8 comments:

Tim Wohlford said...

Well, actually, there is a whiff of "scientific misconduct" in the air in this case.

As the Senate election of Elizabeth Warren has unfolded, the accusation of "scientific misconduct" against her was exposed. Co-authoring the troubled work was, you got it, Dr. Sullivan.

http://legalinsurrection.com/2012/06/were-charges-of-scientific-misconduct-against-elizabeth-warren-ever-fully-vetted/

Tim Wohlford said...

But I do wholeheartedly agree with your idea of a bubble. In many cases, the cost of a 4-year degree, when you consider lost wages (compared to what that same person would've earned for 4 years of college and perhaps beyond) and interest, has topped $250,000. It's one thing to have people get an education when it's affordable, but still another when it is no longer affordable.

A far better idea (so far) is the idea of "credentials." Mind you, I have a BA from a fancy college, and 90 semester hours in a grad degree beyond that, but I make my 6-figure living with credentials that either I self-taught or learned at a community college.

Perhaps we should get the students some job skills so they can make a decent living, then once they are economically viable, encourage them to come back to college for that "education"?

Steve White said...

Bill Jacobson at Legal Insurrection has indeed been on the issue of Dr. Sullivan and Prof. Warren's troubled publication history.

I can find nowhere in the published literature any response by Dr. Sullivan to the charges that her work did not stand up to review. Perhaps it's out there and we've all missed it.

But to the main point: many universities are not willing to consider the higher education bubble because it threatens their own rice bowls. Even universities that consider themselves 'elite' could be undone by a movement that emphasizes credentials, instead of degrees, as a way to document learning achievement.

Economists have a saying: "things that can't go on forever, won't." Ms. Dragas apparently gets that; Dr. Sullivan apparently doesn't.

Tulsa Jack said...

UVA's trustees did not summarily and unanimously dismiss the popular Mz. Sullivan, and refuse to make their reason public, because they disagreed with Sullivan's management approach. Their president stands accused of scientific fraud, in a paper co-authored by the unapologetic liar Elizabeth Warren, an entitlement baby trying to dupe Massachusetts into electing her to the U.S. Senate. Common sense tells us that this is not the least of Sullivan's problem. My guess is that when the full story comes out, as it will, her entire career will be found to have been a fraud. UVA's trustees have decided not to be tarred with that feather.

Contrarian View said...

One is tarred with a brush. The feathers are added afterwards.

I believe that the public vagueness about the real reason for the dismissal is the result of a negotiated settlement between Sullivan and the Board. I have seen this occur many times in corporate situations. If the real reason were publicized, probably it would hurt Sullivan's future career prospects.

Anonymous said...

Where will those Studies PhD get their quarter of a million dollars jobs?

If they lower their sight a little, they could look into astroturf openings:$7.25/hr for woman-heckler, $17/hr for man-heckler for four more years Obamaconomy.

http://www.buzzfeed.com/mckaycoppins/anti-romney-protesters-say-theyre-paid-to-heckle

David N. Narr said...

Landmark Communications, the private company which owns The Virginian-Pilot, put its media properties up for sale a couple of years ago. Except for the profitable Weather Channel purchased by NBC, there were no takers.

Newspaper readership and ad revenues continue to fall. One would think that these facts would encourage the editorialists at The Virginian-Pilot to emerge from their burrows, sniff the air and ask themselves "What's Going On?" But, no. Their editorial stance continues as it has since I moved to this area almost 25 years ago: For increased government spending and higher taxes, and against everything which might shrink the influence of government in our lives. They are reactionary dinosaurs. I stopped taking The Virginian-Pilot years ago.

Anonymous said...

I think you've hit the cut nail on the head regarding brick and mortar schools (mason's pun intended). Concord Law School, a Kaplan (Washington Post, Inc.) owned private law school can't get the approval of the ABA so that its graduates can sit for state bars. The reason: It doesn't have a brick and mortar law library! Who controls the ABA's education committee wing? "Old Guard" lawyers who attended brick and mortar schools. These academic snobs have their noses so far up in the air that they don't realize the rarified air is making them oblivious to the movement of society.