There are a variety of reasons (worth a read) but here's the bottom line.
Psephology is not prophecy, and only a rash man would, at this distance venture a prediction. Still, I will say that if the next two years are anything like the last, Donald Trump will win in a landslide. I don’t know what the NeverTrump fraternity will do. Pretend they are Japanese soldiers stranded on some remote Pacific islands after the bad news of August 1945, I suppose. Part of me hopes they fight on in their little fox holes, sending smoke signals to their ever-diminishing band of followers, reminding one another of how dignified and decent and upstanding they are. Maybe, if they are especially good, Mitt Romney will come to their annual convention and they can tell stories about that noble maverick John McCain who single handedly prevented the evil Trump from putting paid to Obamacare and, by peddling that scurrilous bit of oppo research commissioned and paid for Hillary Clinton, almost managed to scotch the candidacy and then the President of the evil orange man.
Almost. What a sad word. Macbeth was right, they ‘have scotch’d the snake, not kill’d it,’ and woe unto them because of it. I am looking forward to 2020.
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